What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 16, 2026?
The market resolves based on the magnitude of the biggest earthquake on September 16, 2026.
Kalshi$840 traded 24hEnds Sep 16, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magnitude of at least 5.2 | 43% | — | 47¢ | |
| Magnitude of at least 6.8 | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Magnitude of at least 5.6 | 6% | — | 8¢ | |
| Magnitude of at least 5.4 | 9% | — | 13¢ | |
| Magnitude of at least 5.8 | 5% | — | 7¢ | |
| Magnitude of at least 6.0 | 5% | — | 7¢ | |
| Magnitude of at least 6.2 | 6% | — | 10¢ | |
| Magnitude of at least 6.4 | 6% | — | 10¢ | |
| Magnitude of at least 6.6 | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Magnitude of at least 7.0 | 2% | — | 2¢ |
Magnitude of at least 5.2
43%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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