Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050?
The market resolves based on whether a supervolcano erupts before January 1, 2050.
Kalshi$12 traded 24hEnds Dec 31, 2049Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2050 | 28% | — | 29¢ |
Before Jan 1, 2050
28%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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