How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by September 30?

The market resolves based on the maximum magnitude of an earthquake occurring worldwide by September 30.

Polymarket$96 traded 24hEnds Oct 3, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Polymarket
7.0+	45%	—	47¢
8.0+	9%	—	10¢
8.5+	2%	—	3.7¢
6.5+	99%	—	—
7.5+	22%	—	23¢
9.0+	1%	—	0.8¢

45%

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Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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