How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
The outcome depends on the number of tropical cyclones that make landfall in China during 2026.
Polymarket$1.1K traded 24hEnds Jun 30, 2027Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 46% | — | 46¢ | |
| Greater than 8 | 38% | — | 39¢ | |
| 7 | 11% | — | 12.7¢ | |
| 5 | <1% | — | 0.1¢ | |
| 6 | <1% | — | 0.1¢ | |
| Fewer than 5 | <1% | — | 0.1¢ |
8
46%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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