Skip to content

Topic

climate

33 markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, $7.1K traded today.

MarketChance24hBest priceVolume 24h
September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?2nd hottestWeatherEnds Sep 30, 202695%—Polymarket96¢$2.1K
Rain in Los Angeles in Sep 2026?Above 1 inchWeatherEnds Sep 30, 20269%−5¢Kalshi11¢$1.4K
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?WeatherEnds Dec 31, 202673%−3¢Kalshi73.9¢$1.1K
This Sep 2026 is the hottest September ever?WeatherEnds Oct 15, 202612%—Kalshi12¢$407
Rain in San Francisco in Sep 2026?Above 1 inchWeatherEnds Sep 30, 20266%—Kalshi7¢$398
What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?Over 2.5WeatherEnds Mar 31, 202770%—Polymarket71¢$370
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?1WeatherEnds Dec 30, 202676%—Polymarket77¢$301
Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in September90 to 101 km/hWeatherEnds Sep 30, 202669%—Polymarket78¢$269
Lowest daily Arctic sea ice extent in summer 2026Below 4.5 million sq kmWeatherEnds Oct 1, 20265%—Kalshi7¢$206
Sep 2026 temperature increase?1.30001 or aboveWeatherEnds Oct 15, 202680%—Kalshi80¢$178
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?WeatherEnds Dec 31, 202610%—Polymarket10¢$104
Rain in Miami in Sep 2026?Above 9 inchesWeatherEnds Sep 30, 202668%—Kalshi72¢$71
Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 15, 2026New MexicoWeatherIn play94%—Polymarket95¢$55
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?WeatherEnds Mar 31, 202772%—Polymarket72¢$40
How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?Above 5WeatherEnds Dec 1, 20264%—Kalshi5¢$40
How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 15, 2026?10 or more statesWeatherIn play63%—Polymarket98¢$21
What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?2.5°C to 2.9°CWeatherEnds Aug 15, 202751%—Kalshi53¢$20
Consecutive days of average temperature in San Diego above 90°F - week of Sep 14, 20263+ consecutive daysWeatherEnds Sep 20, 20268%—Kalshi8¢$20
How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?1-3WeatherEnds Dec 31, 202663%—Polymarket64¢$13
How many major Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?Above 5WeatherEnds Dec 1, 202633%—Kalshi34¢$12
India meets its 2030 climate goals?WeatherEnds Dec 31, 203163%—Kalshi63¢$2
US meets its climate goals?By 2030WeatherEnds Dec 31, 203018%—Kalshi19.7¢$0
Consecutive days of average temperature in San Antonio above 90°F - week of Sep 14, 20262+ consecutive daysWeatherEnds Sep 20, 202620%—Kalshi37¢$0
What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season?At least 2.5°CWeatherEnds Apr 5, 202786%—Kalshi89¢—
What will the peak RONI value be for the NDJ 2026-27 quarter?At least 2.0°CWeatherEnds Apr 5, 202790%—Kalshi91¢—
Will the average minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span?Before 2029WeatherEnds Jan 1, 202765%—Kalshi68¢—
Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?WeatherEnds Sep 30, 2026>99%—Polymarket99.9¢—
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?WeatherEnds Dec 31, 202613%—Polymarket25.5¢—
Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?WeatherEnds Sep 30, 202696%———
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?WeatherEnds Jun 30, 202720%—Polymarket22¢—
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?WeatherEnds Dec 31, 204975%—Kalshi76¢—
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?WeatherEnds Dec 31, 202677%—Kalshi79¢—
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?WeatherEnds Mar 31, 202794%—Polymarket95¢—