
What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season?
This market resolves based on the peak RONI value for El Niño during the NDJ 2026-27 season.
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 2.5°C | 86% | — | 89¢ | |
| 2.0°C to 2.4°C | 9% | — | 12¢ | |
| 1.5°C to 1.9°C | 6% | — | 10¢ | |
| 0.5°C to 0.9°C | 4% | — | 4¢ | |
| 1.0°C to 1.4°C | 4% | — | 6¢ | |
| Below 0.5°C | 1% | — | 1¢ |
At least 2.5°C
86%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
Discussion
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