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What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season?

This market resolves based on the peak RONI value for El Niño during the NDJ 2026-27 season.

KalshiKalshiEnds Apr 5, 2027

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hKalshiKalshi
At least 2.5°C86%89¢
2.0°C to 2.4°C9%12¢
1.5°C to 1.9°C6%10¢
0.5°C to 0.9°C4%
1.0°C to 1.4°C4%
Below 0.5°C1%

At least 2.5°C

86%

Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks

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