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How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 15, 2026?

The market resolves to the number of US states classified as being in D4 Exceptional Drought during the week of September 15, 2026.

PolymarketPolymarket$21 traded 24hIn progress

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hPolymarketPolymarket
10 or more states62%97¢
7-9 states38%73¢
0 states37%73.8¢
5-6 states35%69.6¢
1-2 states35%69.4¢
3-4 states34%67.1¢

10 or more states

62%

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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