
How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 15, 2026?
The market resolves to the number of US states classified as being in D4 Exceptional Drought during the week of September 15, 2026.
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 or more states | 62% | — | 97¢ | |
| 7-9 states | 38% | — | 73¢ | |
| 0 states | 37% | — | 73.8¢ | |
| 5-6 states | 35% | — | 69.6¢ | |
| 1-2 states | 35% | — | 69.4¢ | |
| 3-4 states | 34% | — | 67.1¢ |
10 or more states
62%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
Discussion
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