What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

The market resolves based on the peak RONI value for the 2026–27 El Niño event.

Polymarket$355 traded 24hEnds Mar 31, 2027

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Polymarket
Over 2.5	70%	—	71¢
2.25–2.5	26%	—	27¢
2.0–2.25	5%	—	6.2¢
1.5–2.0	2%	—	4.3¢
Under 1.5	<1%	—	0.1¢

70%

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Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

Posts and calls about this event

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