Polymarket· Weather · climate · Weather & Science

Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be below 1.5?

Chance

<1%

Buy Yes

0.1¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

—

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 11 minutes ago. Ends Apr 1, 3:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?71¢
Can’t both happenWill the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0?4.1¢
Can’t both happenWill the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25?6.5¢
Can’t both happenWill the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?26¢