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PolymarketPolymarket· Weather · climate · Weather & Science

Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?

Chance

70%

Buy Yes

71¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

31¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 9 minutes ago. Ends Apr 1, 3:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

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Latest trades

  • 12 hours agoSold No at 29¢$2
  • 12 hours agoSold No at 31¢$16
  • 12 hours agoBought Yes at 68¢$34
  • 12 hours agoBought Yes at 67.7¢$222
  • yesterdaySold No at 37¢$9
  • yesterdayBought Yes at 65.7¢$9
  • yesterdaySold No at 42¢$49