Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

The ranking of 2026 among the hottest years on record determines the outcome.

Polymarket$301 traded 24hEnds Dec 30, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Polymarket
1	76%	—	77¢
2	23%	—	24¢
3	1%	—	1.7¢
6 or lower	<1%	—	0.5¢
4	<1%	—	0.3¢
5	<1%	—	0.2¢

76%

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Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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