Polymarket· Weather & Science · Science · Culture · Global Temp

Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?

Chance

<1%

Buy Yes

0.3¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

99.8¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 10 minutes ago. Ends Dec 31, 12:00 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

22 hours agoBought Yes at 0.3¢$1