Polymarket· Weather & Science · Science · Culture · Global Temp

Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?

Chance

<1%

Buy Yes

0.2¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

99.9¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 3 minutes ago. Ends Dec 31, 12:00 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

17 hours agoSold No at 99.8¢$44
17 hours agoBought No at 99.9¢$26
17 hours agoBought No at 99.9¢$18
yesterdayBought Yes at 0.2¢$1