Lowest daily Arctic sea ice extent in summer 2026
The market resolves based on the lowest daily Arctic sea ice extent recorded in summer 2026.
Kalshi$206 traded 24hEnds Oct 1, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below 4.5 million sq km | 5% | — | 7¢ | |
| Below 4.3 million sq km | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Below 4.4 million sq km | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Below 4.8 million sq km | 99% | — | — | |
| Below 4.6 million sq km | 97% | — | — | |
| Below 3.6 million sq km | 1% | — | 1¢ | |
| Below 3.8 million sq km | 1% | — | 1¢ | |
| Below 4.0 million sq km | 1% | — | 1¢ | |
| Below 4.2 million sq km | 1% | — | 1¢ |
Below 4.5 million sq km
5%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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