Kalshi· Climate and Weather

Will the extent of the Arctic sea ice be below 4.2 million square km between December 19, 2025 and October 01, 2026?

Pays out if the result is below 4.2.

Chance

Buy Yes

1¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

—

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 9 minutes ago. Ends Oct 2, 3:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

If this happens, this happens tooWill the extent of the Arctic sea ice be below 4.3 million square km between December 19, 2025 and October 01, 2026?2¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the extent of the Arctic sea ice be below 4.4 million square km between December 19, 2025 and October 01, 2026?2¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the extent of the Arctic sea ice be below 4.5 million square km between December 19, 2025 and October 01, 2026?7¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the extent of the Arctic sea ice be below 4.6 million square km between December 19, 2025 and October 01, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the extent of the Arctic sea ice be below 4.8 million square km between December 19, 2025 and October 01, 2026?—
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the extent of the Arctic sea ice be below 3.6 million square km between December 19, 2025 and October 01, 2026?1¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the extent of the Arctic sea ice be below 3.8 million square km between December 19, 2025 and October 01, 2026?1¢

How this market is decidedShow

If the National Snow & Ice Data Center records a day between December 19, 2025 and October 01, 2026 where the extent of arctic sea ice is below 4.2 million square kilometers, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the lowest individual daily Extent value reported in the NSIDC Sea Ice Index Version 4 Northern Hemisphere daily CSV for a date within between December 19, 2025 and October 01, 2026, measured in millions of square kilometers.

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