What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?
The peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season determines the outcome.
Kalshi$20 traded 24hEnds Aug 15, 2027Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5°C to 2.9°C | 51% | — | 53¢ | |
| At least 3.0°C | 50% | — | 51¢ | |
| 1.5°C to 1.9°C | 7% | — | 7¢ | |
| 2.0°C to 2.4°C | 6% | — | 9¢ | |
| Below 1.5°C | 4% | — | 4¢ |
2.5°C to 2.9°C
51%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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