Skip to content

Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 15, 2026

Which US states are experiencing exceptional drought (D4) in the week of September 15, 2026.

PolymarketPolymarket$55 traded 24hIn progress

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hPolymarketPolymarket
New Mexico94%95¢
North Carolina94%99¢
Oregon99%99.8¢
Colorado99%99.8¢
Oklahoma96%98.9¢
Idaho96%99¢
Nevada94%98.9¢
Arkansas93%95¢
Texas92%
Mississippi82%98.9¢
Nebraska64%98¢
Utah63%98¢
North Dakota39%73.9¢
South Carolina38%73¢
Wyoming38%73¢
Florida38%73¢
Minnesota38%73.9¢
South Dakota38%73.9¢
Virginia38%73.9¢
Wisconsin19%38.1¢
West Virginia17%34.4¢
Kansas7%
Missouri7%
Montana7%
Arizona6%10¢
California5%
Washington5%
Georgia5%8.5¢
Illinois5%
Indiana5%
Louisiana5%
Pennsylvania4%
Kentucky4%
Iowa4%
Ohio3%6.5¢
Alabama3%5.4¢
New Jersey3%
Maryland3%
Tennessee2%
Delaware<1%0.3¢

New Mexico

94%

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

Discussion

Posts and calls about this event

Live room

Connecting…

Loading…

Sign in to chat in the room.