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PolymarketPolymarket· Weather · Recurring · Drought

Will Mississippi have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Chance

84%

Buy Yes

98.9¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

31.4¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 9 minutes ago. Ends Sep 17, 1:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mississippi has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Mississippi carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 15, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Mississippi market and make no claim about Mississippi's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.