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PolymarketPolymarket· Weather · Recurring · Drought

Will West Virginia have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Chance

16%

Buy Yes

32.3¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

99.8¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 29 minutes ago. Ends Sep 17, 1:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • yesterdaySold Yes at 0.1¢$0
How this market is decidedShow

This market will resolve to "Yes" if West Virginia has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". West Virginia carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid September 15, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no West Virginia market and make no claim about West Virginia's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.