When will the next Category 5 hurricane form?
The market resolves based on the date the next Category 5 hurricane forms.
KalshiEnds Aug 31, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 8% | — | 8¢ | |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 6% | — | 9¢ | |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 6% | — | 9¢ | |
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | — | — | — |
Before Oct 1, 2026
8%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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