Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)
The market resolves based on which listed Democrat is the first to announce a presidential run.
Kalshi$19 traded 24hEnds Oct 31, 2028Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rahm Emanuel | 28% | — | 29¢ | |
| Ro Khanna | 19% | — | 23¢ | |
| Pete Buttigieg | 11% | — | 15¢ | |
| Gavin Newsom | 10% | — | 15¢ | |
| Andy Beshear | 9% | — | 12¢ | |
| Kamala Harris | 6% | — | 7¢ | |
| Amy Klobuchar | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Andrew Yang | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Beto O'Rourke | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Chris Murphy | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Elissa Slotkin | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Elizabeth Warren | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Graham Platner | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Gretchen Whitmer | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Jasmine Crockett | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Jared Polis | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Jon Stewart | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| James Talarico | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Mark Cuban | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Mitch Landrieu | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Michelle Obama | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Roy Cooper | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Ruben Gallego | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Stephen A. Smith | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Cory Booker | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Jon Ossoff | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| J.B. Pritzker | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Josh Shapiro | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Mark Kelly | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Raphael Warnock | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Wes Moore | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Gina Raimondo | 1% | — | 1¢ |
Rahm Emanuel
28%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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