September 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP

The market resolves based on the US U3 unemployment rate and non-farm payrolls growth for September 2026.

KalshiEnds Oct 2, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Kalshi
U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 100k or above	97%	—	97¢
U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 50-99k	97%	—	97¢
U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: Below 50k	97%	—	97¢
U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k	17%	—	18¢
U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k	17%	—	18¢
U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 100k or above	16%	—	17¢
U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 100k or above	9%	—	10¢
U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 50-99k	9%	—	10¢
U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: Below 50k	9%	—	10¢
U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 100k or above	4%	—	5¢
U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 50-99k	4%	—	5¢
U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: Below 50k	3%	—	4¢

97%

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Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks

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