US government budget balance in 2026
The US government budget balance as a percentage of GDP in 2026 determines the outcome.
KalshiEnds Apr 20, 2027Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above -9.0% of GDP | 93% | — | 93¢ | |
| Above -8.5% of GDP | 87% | — | 89¢ | |
| Above -8.0% of GDP | 61% | — | 65¢ | |
| Above -7.5% of GDP | 43% | — | 44¢ | |
| Above -7.0% of GDP | 20% | — | 22¢ | |
| Above -6.5% of GDP | 6% | — | 10¢ | |
| Above -6.0% of GDP | 4% | — | 7¢ |
Above -9.0% of GDP
93%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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