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us government

40+ markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, $47.8K traded today.

MarketChance24hBest priceVolume 24h
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20261%+1¢Polymarket0.9¢$23.9K
When will the House leave for its pre-election recess?Before Sep 18, 2026PoliticsEnds Sep 3, 202697%——$6.4K
Which bills will become law in 2026?College sports federalizationPoliticsEnds Jul 14, 202650%+1¢Kalshi50¢$4.2K
When will Kimberly Greenwood be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Barbados?Before Dec 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Dec 1, 202620%−55¢Kalshi23¢$2.8K
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?PoliticsEnds Oct 1, 20261%−1¢Kalshi1¢$1.5K
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?Before Oct 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Jul 31, 20265%—Kalshi5¢$1.4K
How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?At least 1 trillionPoliticsEnds Mar 31, 20273%0¢Kalshi3.9¢$1.3K
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?Before Dec 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Aug 1, 202612%−1¢Kalshi12¢$956
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202621%—Polymarket21¢$625
How many FY2027 appropriations bills will become law before Oct 1, 2026?At least 1PoliticsEnds Oct 1, 20265%—Kalshi5¢$607
Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?PoliticsEnds Jan 20, 202918%—Kalshi18¢$529
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?NvidiaEconomicsEnds Sep 9, 202611%—Kalshi11¢$467
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202617%—Polymarket17¢$447
Will marijuana be rescheduled?Before 2027PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202626%—Kalshi27¢$344
Which bills will become law in 2026?Data center utility cost protectionPoliticsEnds Dec 30, 202617%—Polymarket21¢$312
When will Lance Schroyer be confirmed as ICE director?Before Jan 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Jul 31, 202628%—Kalshi31¢$280
Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?Sean ParnellPoliticsEnds Jan 19, 202938%—Polymarket64¢$220
When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy?Before Dec 19, 2026PoliticsEnds Sep 24, 202641%—Kalshi46¢$216
When will the Senate pass a budget resolution?Before Oct 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Aug 1, 20264%—Kalshi6¢$197
Will any GOP member of Congress call for the 25th Amendment on Trump?Before Jan 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Aug 31, 20267%—Kalshi10¢$189
New Supreme Court justice confirmed?Before June 2027PoliticsEnds Oct 1, 202624%—Kalshi27¢$186
Which Senators will vote for Heidi Overton?Thom TillisPoliticsEnds Jan 1, 202851%—Kalshi54¢$182
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?CryptoEnds Dec 31, 20268%—Polymarket8¢$173
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?Before 2027PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 202717%—Kalshi17¢$94
Will the Department of Defense be renamed the Department of War by law in 2026?PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 202744%—Kalshi47¢$92
Will the US acquire any new territory?Before Jan 21, 2029PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 202722%—Kalshi23¢$71
When will a farm bill become law?Before Jan 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Aug 1, 202617%—Kalshi18¢$62
Which ICE reforms will become law in 2026?Mandatory body-worn camerasPoliticsEnds Jan 1, 20273%—Kalshi4¢$51
Which companies will the US take a stake in?PalantirPoliticsEnds Dec 30, 20267%—Polymarket8.3¢$41
Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by...?December 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202662%—Polymarket83¢$32
How many government employees will Trump cut?More than 150,000EconomicsEnds Mar 4, 202711%—Kalshi13¢$30
Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?Sean ParnellPoliticsEnds Jan 8, 203040%—Kalshi43¢$12
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?Shutdown & Democratic PartyPoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202687%—Polymarket87.8¢$12
JD Vance out as VP by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20265%—Polymarket5¢$8
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202611%—Polymarket11¢$5
FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)Above $6BPoliticsEnds Jan 1, 20274%—Kalshi6¢$5
How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?At least 50 billionEconomicsEnds Mar 31, 20297%—Kalshi10¢$4
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 20269%—Polymarket11¢$2
Will Congressional salaries increase?Before Jan 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202610%—Kalshi13¢$1
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202623%—Polymarket26¢$0