Which bills will become law in 2026?
The specific bills that become law in 2026 determine the outcome.
Kalshi$4.4K traded 24hEnds Jul 14, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| College sports federalization | 50% | +1¢ | 50¢ | |
| AI-chip export licensing | 28% | — | 29¢ | |
| Export-control chip security | 27% | — | 27¢ | |
| Critical-minerals stockpile | 14% | — | 15¢ | |
| Data center utility cost protection | 20% | — | 21¢ | |
| Fort Bragg → Fort Liberty | 10% | — | 11¢ | |
| Insulin cost cap | 20% | — | 22¢ | |
| JAWBONE Act | 8% | — | 9¢ | |
| Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions | 71% | — | 75¢ | |
| Jewish American security | 6% | — | 7¢ | |
| ADS-B revenue-use restriction | 28% | — | 30¢ | |
| NO FAKES Act | 19% | — | 21¢ | |
| Surface transportation reauthorization | 15% | — | 16¢ | |
| Railway safety bill | 14% | — | 17¢ | |
| Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act | 13% | — | 15¢ | |
| E15 year-round sales | 12% | — | 13¢ | |
| Electric vehicle Highway Trust Fund fee | 12% | — | 13¢ | |
| FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years) | 10% | — | 12¢ | |
| $2.50 Coin | 7% | — | 10¢ | |
| Dignity Act | 7% | — | 8¢ | |
| ROTOR Act | 7% | — | 11¢ | |
| Film/TV production expensing | 5% | — | 8.9¢ | |
| White House ballroom funding | 5% | — | 5¢ | |
| Trump Airport | 4% | — | 5.2¢ | |
| DEFIANCE Act | 4% | — | 4.9¢ | |
| SHOWER Act | 4% | — | 5.9¢ | |
| Trump's Birthday as a federal holiday | 4% | — | 4.8¢ | |
| SELF DRIVE Act | 3% | — | 4.9¢ | |
| Smithsonian Women’s History Museum | 3% | — | 2.9¢ | |
| Credit-card routing competition | 2% | — | 3.8¢ | |
| Housing for the 21st Century Act | — | — | — |
College sports federalization
50%
+1¢Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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