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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will legislation that requires location-verification security mechanisms on certain advanced chips before export become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Chance

27%

Buy Yes

27¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

74¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 52 seconds ago. Ends Jan 1, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 27¢$1
  • 16 hours agoBought no at 76¢$353
  • 16 hours agoBought no at 75¢$3
  • 16 hours agoBought no at 75¢$1
  • 16 hours agoBought no at 75¢$3
  • 16 hours agoBought no at 75¢$5
  • 16 hours agoBought no at 74¢$15
How this market is decidedShow

If legislation that requires location-verification security mechanisms on certain advanced chips before export has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Clarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)' (KXBILLS-FISA) resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example (Public Law 118-49). A reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify. Clarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a presidential ballroom, constitutes legislation that "authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom," even if the funds are restricted to security elements of that construction.