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Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

The market resolves based on whether there is another US government shutdown and which party wins the House in 2026.

PolymarketPolymarket$12 traded 24hEnds Nov 2, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hPolymarketPolymarket
Shutdown & Democratic Party87%87.8¢
Shutdown & Republican Party13%14.3¢

Shutdown & Democratic Party

87%

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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