When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
The date the US House of Representatives passes a reconciliation bill will determine the outcome.
Kalshi$956 traded 24hEnds Aug 1, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 12% | −1¢ | 12¢ | |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 25% | — | 27¢ | |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 3% | — | 3¢ | |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 1% | — | 1¢ | |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | — | — | — | |
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | — | — | — |
Before Dec 1, 2026
12%
−1¢Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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