FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)
The market resolves based on the total value of gifts and bequests received by the US Commerce Department in fiscal year 2026.
Kalshi$5 traded 24hEnds Jan 1, 2027Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $6B | 4% | — | 6¢ | |
| Above $2B | 6% | — | 9¢ | |
| Above $4B | 6% | — | 9¢ | |
| Above $1B | 8% | — | 9¢ | |
| Above $500M | 11% | — | 15¢ | |
| Above $1M | 98% | — | 99¢ | |
| Above $10M | 41% | — | 44¢ | |
| Above $50M | 25% | — | 28¢ | |
| Above $100M | 22% | — | 23¢ |
Above $6B
4%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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