
China’s government budget balance in 2026
This market resolves based on China's government budget balance as a percentage of GDP in 2026.
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above -9.5% of GDP | 95% | — | 99¢ | |
| Above -8.5% of GDP | 91% | — | 97¢ | |
| Above -9.0% of GDP | 89% | — | 93¢ | |
| Above -8.0% of GDP | 36% | — | 37¢ | |
| Above -7.5% of GDP | 12% | — | 13¢ | |
| Above -7.0% of GDP | 6% | — | 9¢ | |
| Above -6.5% of GDP | 4% | — | 7¢ |
Above -9.5% of GDP
95%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
Discussion
Posts and calls about this event
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