Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
The market resolves based on whether Pete Hegseth is no longer Secretary of Defense by a specified date.
Kalshi$6.5K traded 24hEnds Jul 31, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 13% | −2¢ | 13¢ | |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 27% | −1¢ | 28¢ | |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 4% | +1¢ | 4¢ | |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | — | — | — | |
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | — | — | — |
Before Nov 1, 2026
13%
−2¢Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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