
Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz?
The market resolves based on whether Donald Trump renames the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date.
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 5% | — | 7¢ | |
| Before Sep 15, 2026 | — | — | — |
Before Oct 1, 2026
5%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
Discussion
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