Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
The market resolves based on which listed leaders leave office in 2026.
Kalshi$8.7K traded 24hEnds Aug 7, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Macron | 3% | 0¢ | 4.2¢ | |
| Friedrich Merz | 24% | −6¢ | 24¢ | |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 46% | — | 46¢ | |
| Cyril Ramaphosa | 5% | — | 7.2¢ | |
| Xi Jinping | 4% | — | 5.5¢ | |
| Mohammed bin Salman | 8% | — | 9.9¢ | |
| Denis Sassou Nguesso | 5% | — | 5.9¢ | |
| Pedro Sánchez | 16% | — | 16¢ | |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel | 14% | — | 15¢ | |
| Claudia Sheinbaum | 4% | — | 4.8¢ | |
| Vladimir Putin | 7% | — | 7.7¢ | |
| Delcy Rodriguez | 8% | — | 8.4¢ | |
| Christopher Luxon | 46% | — | 47¢ | |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 8% | — | 8.8¢ | |
| Sébastien Lecornu | 25% | — | 27¢ | |
| Javier Milei | 4% | — | 5.9¢ | |
| Narendra Modi | 3% | — | 3.6¢ | |
| Rodrigo Paz Pereira | 9% | — | 12¢ | |
| Lee Jae Myung | 8% | — | 10¢ | |
| Mette Frederiksen | 8% | — | 9.5¢ | |
| Ahmad al-Sharaa | 8% | — | 8.3¢ | |
| Sanae Takaichi | 7% | — | 7.1¢ | |
| Ramzan Kadyrov | 6% | — | 7¢ | |
| Jens-Frederik Nielsen | 5% | — | 5.1¢ | |
| Daniel Noboa | 5% | — | 7.2¢ | |
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 5% | — | 5.9¢ | |
| Recep Tayyip Erdoğan | 5% | — | 5.6¢ | |
| Félix Tshisekedi | 4% | — | 6.5¢ | |
| Giorgia Meloni | 3% | — | 4.4¢ | |
| Irfaan Ali | 3% | — | 4.7¢ | |
| Mark Carney | 3% | — | 3.9¢ | |
| Kim Jong Un | 2% | — | 2.4¢ | |
| Nayib Bukele | 2% | — | 2.6¢ | |
| Frederik X | 1% | — | 1.2¢ | |
| Gustavo Petro | — | — | — |
Emmanuel Macron
3%
0¢Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
Discussion
Posts and calls about this event
Live room
Connecting…Loading…
Sign in to chat in the room.