
What will Mamdani’s NYC favorability be in Siena’s next poll?
The market resolves based on Mamdani's favorability rating in the next Siena College poll for New York City.
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 56% | 92% | — | 95¢ | |
| At least 58% | 83% | — | 86¢ | |
| At least 60% | 74% | — | 77¢ | |
| At least 62% | 65% | — | 68¢ | |
| At least 64% | 55% | — | 58¢ | |
| At least 66% | 38% | — | 41¢ | |
| At least 68% | 21% | — | 24¢ | |
| At least 70% | 14% | — | 17¢ | |
| At least 72% | 7% | — | 10¢ |
At least 56%
92%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
Discussion
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