California's 1st District margin of victory
This market resolves based on the margin of victory for McGuire in California's 1st Congressional District election.
KalshiEnds Nov 3, 2027Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| McGuire, 5+ pts | 93% | — | 97.8¢ | |
| McGuire, 8+ pts | 86% | — | 90.8¢ | |
| McGuire, 11+ pts | 79% | — | 84¢ | |
| McGuire, 14+ pts | 72% | — | 77¢ | |
| McGuire, 17+ pts | 65% | — | 70¢ | |
| McGuire, 20+ pts | 57% | — | 62¢ | |
| McGuire, 23+ pts | 38% | — | 43¢ | |
| McGuire, 26+ pts | 19% | — | 24¢ | |
| McGuire, 29+ pts | 9% | — | 14¢ |
McGuire, 5+ pts
93%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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