California's 4th District margin of victory
The market resolves based on Mike Thompson's margin of victory in California's 4th District election.
KalshiEnds Nov 3, 2027Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Thompson, 5+ pts | 57% | — | 62¢ | |
| Mike Thompson, 10+ pts | 38% | — | 43¢ | |
| Mike Thompson, 15+ pts | 25% | — | 30¢ | |
| Mike Thompson, 20+ pts | 15% | — | 20¢ | |
| Mike Thompson, 25+ pts | 8% | — | 13¢ | |
| Mike Thompson, 30+ pts | 5% | — | 8.6¢ |
Mike Thompson, 5+ pts
57%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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