Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?
This market resolves based on whether any of the listed politicians switch or leave their political party in 2026.
Kalshi$12 traded 24hEnds Jan 1, 2027Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Fetterman | 11% | — | 11¢ | |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | 19% | — | 20¢ | |
| Lisa Murkowski | 7% | — | 7.5¢ | |
| Thomas Massie | 4% | — | 5.4¢ | |
| Don Bacon | 2% | — | 3.6¢ | |
| Henry Cuellar | 2% | — | 3.5¢ |
John Fetterman
11%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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