
Will Trump declare a national emergency?
This market resolves based on whether Donald Trump declares a national emergency by a specified date.
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 45% | — | 50¢ | |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 40% | — | 45¢ | |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 35% | — | 40¢ | |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 21% | — | 25¢ | |
| Before Dec 29, 2026 | — | — | — |
Before Jan 1, 2027
45%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
Discussion
Posts and calls about this event
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