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Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?

This market resolves to the individual Donald Trump appoints as his next Secretary of Defense.

KalshiKalshi$14 traded 24hEnds Jan 20, 2029

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hKalshiKalshi
No other person56%59¢
Ron DeSantis12%14¢
Dan Driscoll10%13¢
Joni Ernst5%8.8¢
Elbridge Colby5%4.6¢
Steve Feinberg5%
Mike Rogers3%5.9¢
Wesley Hunt3%4.7¢
Tom Cotton2%
Bill Hagerty1%
Christopher Miller1%
Mike Gallagher1%
Trae Stephens1%
Keith Kellogg1%0.9¢
Mike Pompeo1%0.9¢
Mike Waltz1%0.9¢
Tulsi Gabbard1%0.9¢

No other person

56%

Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks

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