Nobel Prize in Literature: 2026
This market resolves based on the winner of the 2026 Nobel Prize in Literature.
Kalshi$9 traded 24hEnds Oct 9, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margaret Atwood | 10% | — | 13¢ | |
| Amitav Ghosh | 14% | — | 18¢ | |
| Salman Rushdie | 12% | — | 16¢ | |
| Can Xue | 12% | — | 14¢ | |
| Haruki Murakami | 11% | — | 15¢ | |
| Anne Carson | 9% | — | 13¢ | |
| Mircea Cărtărescu | 9% | — | 12¢ | |
| César Aira | 8% | — | 12¢ | |
| Gerald Murnane | 8% | — | 12¢ | |
| Thomas Pynchon | 7% | — | 10¢ |
Margaret Atwood
10%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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