Kalshi· Science and Technology

Will César Aira win the Nobel Prize in Literature?

Chance

Buy Yes

12¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

96¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 15 minutes ago. Ends Oct 10, 3:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

How this market is decidedShow

If César Aira has won the 2026 Nobel Prize in Literature, then the market resolves to Yes.