How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
The number of SpaceX Starship launches that successfully reach space in 2026 determines the outcome.
KalshiEnds Jan 1, 2027Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 51% | — | 53¢ | |
| 4 | 38% | — | 41¢ | |
| 3 | 9% | — | 11¢ | |
| 6 | 3% | — | 4¢ | |
| 2 | 3% | — | 3¢ | |
| 8 | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| 1 or below | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| 7 | 1% | — | 1¢ | |
| 10 or above | 1% | — | 1¢ | |
| 9 | 1% | — | 1¢ |
5
51%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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