Skip to content
Back to event

KalshiKalshi· Science and Technology

Will exactly 4 Starship launches reach space in 2026?

Pays out if the result is below 4.

Chance

38%

Buy Yes

41¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

65¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 5 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If exactly 4 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. A Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight. Each launch is considered separate and will contribute to count separately, even if the same Starship is launched multiple times. (For example, if in period the same Starship is launched twice and reaches space twice, count will be 2).