What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
The market resolves based on the tariff rate applied to Chinese imports on January 1, 2027.
KalshiEnds Dec 31, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% or above | 97% | — | 99¢ | |
| 20% or above | 80% | — | 84¢ | |
| 30% or above | 33% | — | 37¢ | |
| 50% or above | 14% | — | 16¢ | |
| 100% or above | 5% | — | 7¢ |
10% or above
97%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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