
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?
Which countries have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026.
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uganda | 36% | — | 37¢ | |
| Democratic Republic of the Congo | 18% | — | 20¢ | |
| Lebanon | 12% | — | 13¢ | |
| Syria | 10% | — | 9.7¢ | |
| South Sudan | 6% | — | 7.6¢ | |
| Yemen | 6% | — | 9.6¢ | |
| Russia | 5% | — | 8.7¢ | |
| Iran | 4% | — | 7.8¢ | |
| Afghanistan | 4% | — | 6.7¢ | |
| Haiti | 4% | — | 6.3¢ | |
| Iraq | 4% | — | 6.4¢ | |
| Ukraine | 4% | — | 6¢ | |
| Libya | 3% | — | 5.6¢ | |
| Burma (Myanmar) | 3% | — | 4.9¢ | |
| Gaza | 3% | — | 4.9¢ | |
| North Korea | 2% | — | 3¢ | |
| Sudan | 2% | — | 3¢ | |
| Somalia | 2% | — | 2.9¢ |
Uganda
36%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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