Who will Trump pardon in 2026?
The market resolves based on who Donald Trump pardons in 2026.
Kalshi$219 traded 24hEnds Jan 1, 2027Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ghislaine Maxwell | 6% | — | 6.9¢ | |
| Steve Bannon | 7% | — | 8.3¢ | |
| Michael Cohen | 32% | — | 34¢ | |
| Donald Trump | 5% | — | 5.9¢ | |
| Bob Menendez | 7% | — | 7.7¢ | |
| Roger Ver | 4% | — | 5.9¢ | |
| Larry Householder | 18% | — | 21¢ | |
| Nicole Daedone | 17% | — | 17¢ | |
| Rachel Cherwitz | 17% | — | 18¢ | |
| Keonne Rodriguez | 15% | — | 17¢ | |
| Leonard Glenn Francis | 9% | — | 11¢ | |
| John Kiriakou | 8% | — | 10¢ | |
| Robin Smith | 8% | — | 11¢ | |
| Jho Low | 8% | — | 9¢ | |
| Bill Hwang | 7% | — | 9¢ | |
| Torence Hatch | 7% | — | 8¢ | |
| Elizabeth Holmes | 7% | — | 8¢ | |
| Tal Alexander | 7% | — | 8.6¢ | |
| Jared Kushner | 7% | — | 9.5¢ | |
| Tim Leissner | 6% | — | 9.5¢ | |
| Derek Chauvin | 6% | — | 7¢ | |
| Eric Adams | 6% | — | 9.2¢ | |
| Julian Assange | 6% | — | 8¢ | |
| Edward Snowden | 6% | — | 8¢ | |
| Sean Combs | 6% | — | 7.1¢ | |
| Braden John Karony | 6% | — | 9¢ | |
| Charlie Javice | 6% | — | 6¢ | |
| Sam Bankman-Fried | 5% | — | 6¢ | |
| Matt Borges | 5% | — | 8.6¢ | |
| Kenneth Petty | 5% | — | 6.9¢ | |
| Nicolás Maduro | 4% | — | 5¢ | |
| Joseph Maldonado | 4% | — | 6¢ | |
| Aimee Bock | 4% | — | 6.1¢ | |
| Martin Shkreli | 3% | — | 4¢ |
Ghislaine Maxwell
6%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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