Next government of the United Kingdom?
The market determines the composition of the next government of the United Kingdom.
KalshiEnds Jan 1, 2030Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour majority | 13% | — | 17¢ | |
| Reform UK majority | 9% | — | 11¢ | |
| Reform UK minority + Conservative support | 9% | — | 11¢ | |
| Reform UK minority | 9% | — | 11¢ | |
| Labour, Liberal Democrat, and Green coalition | 7% | — | 11¢ | |
| Labour minority | 5% | — | 9.4¢ | |
| Labour minority + Liberal Democrat support | 5% | — | 9.1¢ | |
| Labour and Liberal Democrat coalition | 5% | — | 9.1¢ | |
| Labour minority + LD/Green/SNP/Plaid support | 5% | — | 8.4¢ | |
| Labour minority + SNP support | 4% | — | 7.6¢ | |
| Reform UK and Conservative coalition | 4% | — | 7.5¢ | |
| Labour minority + Green support | 4% | — | 7.4¢ | |
| Conservative majority | 4% | — | 6.7¢ | |
| Conservative minority | 4% | — | 6.6¢ | |
| Conservative minority + Reform UK support | 4% | — | 6.6¢ | |
| Reform UK minority + DUP support | 3% | — | 5.6¢ | |
| Reform UK, Conservative, and DUP coalition | 3% | — | 5.2¢ | |
| Conservative minority + DUP support | 3% | — | 4.7¢ | |
| Conservative and Liberal Democrat coalition | 2% | — | 2¢ |
Labour majority
13%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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