UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
The market resolves based on the 2-year US Treasury par yield curve at the end of Q3 2026.
Kalshi$314 traded 24hEnds Sep 30, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 4.40% | 98% | — | 99¢ | |
| Above 4.60% | 82% | — | 86¢ | |
| Above 4.30% | 96% | — | — | |
| Above 4.50% | 96% | — | 97¢ | |
| Above 3.20% | 93% | — | — | |
| Above 3.30% | 93% | — | — | |
| Above 3.60% | 93% | — | — | |
| Above 3.70% | 93% | — | — | |
| Above 3.80% | 92% | — | — | |
| Above 3.40% | 91% | — | — | |
| Above 3.50% | 91% | — | — | |
| Above 3.90% | 91% | — | — | |
| Above 4.00% | 91% | — | — | |
| Above 4.10% | 91% | — | — | |
| Above 4.20% | 91% | — | — | |
| Above 4.70% | 73% | — | 73¢ |
Above 4.40%
98%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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