2028 popular vote margin of victory?
This market is about the popular vote margin of victory in the 2028 United States presidential election.
Kalshi$2.1K traded 24hEnds May 6, 2029Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic by 9.0% or more | 21% | — | 22¢ | |
| Democratic by 8.0% to 8.99% | 12% | — | 12¢ | |
| Democratic by 7.0% to 7.99% | 12% | — | 12¢ | |
| Republican by 9.0% or more | 10% | — | 10¢ | |
| Democratic by 6.0% to 6.99% | 9% | — | 9¢ | |
| Democratic by 5.0% to 5.99% | 7% | — | 7¢ | |
| Democratic by 2.0% to 2.99% | 6% | — | 6¢ | |
| Democratic by 3.0% to 3.99% | 6% | — | 6¢ | |
| Democratic by 4.0% to 4.99% | 6% | — | 6¢ | |
| Republican by 1.0% to 1.99% | 5% | — | 5¢ | |
| Democratic by 0.01% to 0.99% | 5% | — | 5¢ | |
| Republican by 0.01% to 0.99% | 4% | — | 4¢ | |
| Republican by 6.0% to 6.99% | 4% | — | 4¢ | |
| Republican by 7.0% to 7.99% | 4% | — | 4¢ | |
| Republican by 8.0% to 8.99% | 4% | — | 4¢ | |
| Republican by 2.0% to 2.99% | 3% | — | 3¢ | |
| Republican by 5.0% to 5.99% | 3% | — | 3¢ | |
| Republican by 3.0% to 3.99% | 1% | — | 1¢ | |
| Republican by 4.0% to 4.99% | 1% | — | 1¢ | |
| Democratic by 1.0% to 1.99% | 1% | — | 1¢ |
Democratic by 9.0% or more
21%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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