Berlin State Election Vote Share Margin of Victory
The vote share margin of victory for parties in the Berlin State Election.
Polymarket$179 traded 24hEnds Sep 20, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linke 0-2% | 42% | — | 64¢ | |
| Linke 2-5% | 33% | — | 35¢ | |
| CDU 0-2% | 26% | — | 40¢ | |
| CDU 2-5% | 18% | — | 32¢ | |
| Linke 5-10% | 14% | — | 27¢ | |
| CDU 5-10% | 10% | — | 12¢ | |
| Linke 10%+ | 4% | — | 7¢ | |
| AfD 2-5% | 2% | — | 4¢ | |
| AfD 0-2% | 2% | — | 4¢ | |
| AfD 5%+ | 2% | — | 4¢ | |
| CDU 10%+ | 2% | — | 4¢ | |
| Another party wins | 2% | — | 3.9¢ |
Linke 0-2%
42%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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